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Analyzing the Difference in the Length of Stay (LOS) in Moderate to Severe COVID-19 Patients Receiving Hydroxychloroquine or Favipiravir

Alosaimi et al., Pharmaceuticals, doi:10.3390/ph15121456
Nov 2022  
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Mortality -400% Improvement Relative Risk Hospitalization time 43% Time to discharge 29% HCQ for COVID-19  Alosaimi et al.  LATE TREATMENT Is late treatment with HCQ beneficial for COVID-19? PSM retrospective 74 patients in Saudi Arabia (Apr 2020 - Mar 2021) Study compares with favipiravir, results vs. placebo may differ Higher mortality with HCQ (not stat. sig., p=0.49) c19hcq.org Alosaimi et al., Pharmaceuticals, November 2022 FavorsHCQ Favorsfavipiravir 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
HCQ for COVID-19
1st treatment shown to reduce risk in March 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 419 studies, recognized in 46 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,100+ studies for 109 treatments. c19hcq.org
Retrospective 200 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Saudi Arabia, showing no significant difference in outcomes between HCQ and favipiravir.
Study covers favipiravir and HCQ.
risk of death, 400.0% higher, RR 5.00, p = 0.49, treatment 2 of 37 (5.4%), control 0 of 37 (0.0%), continuity correction due to zero event (with reciprocal of the contrasting arm), propensity score matching.
hospitalization time, 42.9% lower, relative time 0.57, p = 0.63, treatment 37, control 37, propensity score matching.
time to discharge, 28.6% lower, relative time 0.71, p = 0.74, treatment 37, control 37, propensity score matching.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Alosaimi et al., 24 Nov 2022, retrospective, Saudi Arabia, peer-reviewed, 13 authors, study period April 2020 - March 2021, this trial compares with another treatment - results may be better when compared to placebo. Contact: w.alturaiki@mu.edu.sa (corresponding author).
This PaperHCQAll
Analyzing the Difference in the Length of Stay (LOS) in Moderate to Severe COVID-19 Patients Receiving Hydroxychloroquine or Favipiravir
Bandar Alosaimi, Huda M Alshanbari, Muath Alturaiqy, Halah Z Alrawi, Saad Alamri, Asma Albujaidy, Aljawharah Bin Sabaan, Ahmed A Alrashed, Ahmad Alamer, Fayez Alghofaili, Khaled Al-Duraymih, Abdulaziz J Alshalani, Wael Alturaiki
Pharmaceuticals, doi:10.3390/ph15121456
Background: The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) disease, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus led to a global pandemic. HCQ and FPV were used early in the pandemic as a treatment modality for COVID-19. Various studies evaluated the HCQ and FPV effectiveness, based on the mortality endpoint and showed conflicting results. We hypothesize that analyzing the difference in the LOS as a significant endpoint would be of a major interest, especially for healthcare providers, to prevent a lengthy hospitalization and disease progression. Methods: This is a retrospective observational study, conducted via a medical chart review of COVD-19 patients who were admitted between April 2020 and March 2021 with a moderate to severe illness. The LOS endpoint was tested using the paired Wilcoxon signed-rank (WSR) model. Prior to using the WSR model, the balance between the HCQ and FPV groups, the propensity score matching, the LOS distribution, and the normality assumptions were tested. Two sensitivity statistical analyses were conducted to confirm the results (stratified log-rank test and U Welch test after transforming the LOS by the squared root values). Results: A total of 200 patients were included for the analysis: 83 patients in the HCQ group and 117 patients in the FPV group. Thirty-seven patients were matched in each group. The LOS data was positively skewed and violated the normality (Shapiro-Wilk p < 0.001) and had an unequal variance (Levene's test, p = 0.019). The WSR test showed no statistical significance in the LOS endpoint, with a median of −0.75 days (95% confidence interval: −4.0 to 2.5, p = 0.629), in favor of the HCQ group (four days), in comparison to seven days of the FPV group. The WSR findings were further confirmed with the stratified log rank test (p = 740) and the U Welch test (p = 391). Conclusions: The study concluded that the HCQ and FPV treatments have a comparable effectiveness in terms of the LOS in the moderate to severe COVID-19 patients. This study highlights the importance of analyzing the LOS as a relevant endpoint, in order to prevent the costs of a lengthy hospitalization and disease progression. The current study also emphasizes the
Funding: Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project number (PNURSP2022R299), Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Institutional Review Board Statement: The protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board at King Fahad Medical City (IRB 22-175). Hence, the written informed consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of the study and it was not required, since only unidentifiable data were extracted from the medical records. Informed Consent Statement: Informed consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of the study. Data Availability Statement: Data is contained within the article and Supplementary Material. Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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We hypothesize that analyzing the difference in the LOS as a significant ' 'endpoint would be of a major interest, especially for healthcare providers, to prevent a ' 'lengthy hospitalization and disease progression. Methods: This is a retrospective ' 'observational study, conducted via a medical chart review of COVD-19 patients who were ' 'admitted between April 2020 and March 2021 with a moderate to severe illness. The LOS ' 'endpoint was tested using the paired Wilcoxon signed-rank (WSR) model. Prior to using the WSR ' 'model, the balance between the HCQ and FPV groups, the propensity score matching, the LOS ' 'distribution, and the normality assumptions were tested. Two sensitivity statistical analyses ' 'were conducted to confirm the results (stratified log-rank test and U Welch test after ' 'transforming the LOS by the squared root values). Results: A total of 200 patients were ' 'included for the analysis: 83 patients in the HCQ group and 117 patients in the FPV group. ' 'Thirty-seven patients were matched in each group. The LOS data was positively skewed and ' 'violated the normality (Shapiro–Wilk p &lt; 0.001) and had an unequal variance (Levene’s ' 'test, p = 0.019). The WSR test showed no statistical significance in the LOS endpoint, with a ' 'median of −0.75 days (95% confidence interval: −4.0 to 2.5, p = 0.629), in favor of the HCQ ' 'group (four days), in comparison to seven days of the FPV group. The WSR findings were ' 'further confirmed with the stratified log rank test (p = 740) and the U Welch test (p = 391). ' 'Conclusions: The study concluded that the HCQ and FPV treatments have a comparable ' 'effectiveness in terms of the LOS in the moderate to severe COVID-19 patients. This study ' 'highlights the importance of analyzing the LOS as a relevant endpoint, in order to prevent ' 'the costs of a lengthy hospitalization and disease progression. The current study also ' 'emphasizes the importance of applying the appropriate statistical testing when dealing with ' 'two-sample paired data and analyzing non-parametric data such as the LOS.</jats:p>', 'DOI': '10.3390/ph15121456', 'type': 'journal-article', 'created': { 'date-parts': [[2022, 11, 24]], 'date-time': '2022-11-24T08:24:09Z', 'timestamp': 1669278249000}, 'page': '1456', 'source': 'Crossref', 'is-referenced-by-count': 0, 'title': 'Analyzing the Difference in the Length of Stay (LOS) in Moderate to Severe COVID-19 Patients ' 'Receiving Hydroxychloroquine or Favipiravir', 'prefix': '10.3390', 'volume': '15', 'author': [ { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4719-2655', 'authenticated-orcid': False, 'given': 'Bandar', 'family': 'Alosaimi', 'sequence': 'first', 'affiliation': []}, { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5154-7477', 'authenticated-orcid': False, 'given': 'Huda M.', 'family': 'Alshanbari', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Muath', 'family': 'Alturaiqy', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6761-9519', 'authenticated-orcid': False, 'given': 'Halah Z.', 'family': 'AlRawi', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Saad', 'family': 'Alamri', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Asma', 'family': 'Albujaidy', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Aljawharah', 'family': 'Bin Sabaan', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Ahmed A.', 'family': 'Alrashed', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2091-1376', 'authenticated-orcid': False, 'given': 'Ahmad', 'family': 'Alamer', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1505-3581', 'authenticated-orcid': False, 'given': 'Fayez', 'family': 'Alghofaili', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Khaled', 'family': 'Al-Duraymih', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, {'given': 'Abdulaziz J.', 'family': 'Alshalani', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}, { 'ORCID': 'http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6947-7582', 'authenticated-orcid': False, 'given': 'Wael', 'family': 'Alturaiki', 'sequence': 'additional', 'affiliation': []}], 'member': '1968', 'published-online': {'date-parts': [[2022, 11, 24]]}, 'reference': [ { 'key': 'ref_1', 'unstructured': 'WHO (2022). Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Situation Report, World ' 'Health Organization.'}, { 'key': 'ref_2', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '1239', 'DOI': '10.1001/jama.2020.2648', 'article-title': 'Characteristics of and important lessons from the coronavirus disease ' '2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in China: Summary of a report of 72,314 cases ' 'from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention', 'volume': '323', 'year': '2020', 'journal-title': 'JAMA'}, { 'key': 'ref_3', 'unstructured': 'COVID-19 Treatment Guidelines Panel (2022, April 04). Coronavirus ' 'Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Treatment Guidelines. 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A ' 'Simulation Study to Compare Type I and Type II Errors of 12 Statistical ' 'Tests', 'volume': '20', 'year': '2017', 'journal-title': 'Value Health'}], 'container-title': 'Pharmaceuticals', 'original-title': [], 'language': 'en', 'link': [ { 'URL': 'https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8247/15/12/1456/pdf', 'content-type': 'unspecified', 'content-version': 'vor', 'intended-application': 'similarity-checking'}], 'deposited': { 'date-parts': [[2022, 11, 24]], 'date-time': '2022-11-24T09:10:46Z', 'timestamp': 1669281046000}, 'score': 1, 'resource': {'primary': {'URL': 'https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8247/15/12/1456'}}, 'subtitle': [], 'short-title': [], 'issued': {'date-parts': [[2022, 11, 24]]}, 'references-count': 40, 'journal-issue': {'issue': '12', 'published-online': {'date-parts': [[2022, 12]]}}, 'alternative-id': ['ph15121456'], 'URL': 'http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ph15121456', 'relation': {}, 'ISSN': ['1424-8247'], 'subject': ['Drug Discovery', 'Pharmaceutical Science', 'Molecular Medicine'], 'container-title-short': 'Pharmaceuticals', 'published': {'date-parts': [[2022, 11, 24]]}}
Late treatment
is less effective
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 100,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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