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Utilizing machine learning for survival analysis to identify risk factors for COVID-19 intensive care unit admission: A retrospective cohort study from the United Arab Emirates

AlShehhi et al., PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0291373
Jan 2024  
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ICU admission 43% Improvement Relative Risk HCQ for COVID-19  AlShehhi et al.  LATE TREATMENT Is late treatment with HCQ beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 1,797 patients in United Arab Emirates (Mar - Apr 2020) Lower ICU admission with HCQ (p=0.0013) c19hcq.org AlShehhi et al., PLOS ONE, January 2024 FavorsHCQ Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
HCQ for COVID-19
1st treatment shown to reduce risk in March 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 419 studies, recognized in 46 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,100+ studies for 112 treatments. c19hcq.org
Retrospective 1,787 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in the United Arab Emirates, identifying hydroxychloroquine as reducing the risk of ICU admission in a machine learning model. Only unadjusted quantitative results are provided, which also show a benefit.
This study is excluded in the after exclusion results of meta analysis: unadjusted results with no group details.
risk of ICU admission, 42.8% lower, RR 0.57, p = 0.001, treatment 114 of 1,460 (7.8%), control 46 of 337 (13.6%), NNT 17.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
AlShehhi et al., 11 Jan 2024, retrospective, United Arab Emirates, peer-reviewed, 4 authors, study period 1 March, 2020 - 20 April, 2020. Contact: hiba.alblooshi@uaeu.ac.ae, medical.research@doh.gov.ae.
This PaperHCQAll
Utilizing machine learning for survival analysis to identify risk factors for COVID-19 intensive care unit admission: A retrospective cohort study from the United Arab Emirates
Aamna Alshehhi, Taleb M Almansoori, Ahmed R Alsuwaidi, Hiba Alblooshi
PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0291373
Background The current situation of the unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic leverages Artificial Intelligence (AI) as an innovative tool for addressing the evolving clinical challenges. An example is utilizing Machine Learning (ML) models-a subfield of AI that take advantage of observational data/Electronic Health Records (EHRs) to support clinical decision-making for COVID-19 cases. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical characteristics and risk factors for COVID-19 patients in the United Arab Emirates utilizing EHRs and ML for survival analysis models. Methods We tested various ML models for survival analysis in this work we trained those models using a different subset of features extracted by several feature selection methods. Finally, the best model was evaluated and interpreted using goodness-of-fit based on calibration curves,Partial Dependence Plots and concordance index. Results The risk of severe disease increases with elevated levels of C-reactive protein, ferritin, lactate dehydrogenase, Modified Early Warning Score, respiratory rate and troponin. The risk also increases with hypokalemia, oxygen desaturation and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and hypocalcemia and lymphopenia.
Supporting information S1 Author Contributions Conceptualization: Aamna AlShehhi, Taleb M. Almansoori, Ahmed R. Alsuwaidi, Hiba Alblooshi. Data curation: Hiba Alblooshi. Formal analysis: Aamna AlShehhi. Investigation: Taleb M. Almansoori, Ahmed R. Alsuwaidi, Hiba Alblooshi. Methodology: Aamna AlShehhi. Project administration: Hiba Alblooshi. Resources: Taleb M. Almansoori, Ahmed R. Alsuwaidi. Validation: Taleb M. Almansoori, Ahmed R. Alsuwaidi. Visualization: Aamna AlShehhi. Writing -original draft: Aamna AlShehhi, Hiba Alblooshi. Writing -review & editing: Taleb M. Almansoori, Ahmed R. Alsuwaidi, Hiba Alblooshi.
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Moreno-Pérez', 'year': '2020', 'journal-title': 'International Journal Of Infectious Diseases'}, { 'issue': '4', 'key': 'pone.0291373.ref026', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '401', 'DOI': '10.1007/s10157-020-01996-4', 'article-title': 'Hypokalemia in Patients with COVID-19', 'volume': '25', 'author': 'The Modena Covid-19 Working Group (MoCo19)', 'year': '2021', 'journal-title': 'Clinical And Experimental Nephrology'}, { 'issue': '3', 'key': 'pone.0291373.ref027', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '33', 'DOI': '10.1038/s41392-020-0148-4', 'article-title': 'Lymphopenia predicts disease severity of COVID-19: a descriptive and ' 'predictive study', 'volume': '5', 'author': 'L. Tan', 'year': '2020', 'journal-title': 'Signal Transduction And Targeted Therapy'}, { 'issue': '9', 'key': 'pone.0291373.ref028', 'first-page': '102816', 'article-title': 'Lymphopenia in Covid-19: A single center retrospective study of 589 ' 'cases', 'volume': '69', 'author': 'E. 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Tobin', 'year': '2020', 'journal-title': 'American Journal Of Respiratory And Critical Care Medicine'}, { 'issue': '2', 'key': 'pone.0291373.ref032', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '2389', 'DOI': '10.1038/s41598-022-06378-2', 'article-title': 'Role of a lower cutoff of high sensitivity troponin I in identification ' 'of early cardiac damage in non-severe patients with COVID-19', 'volume': '12', 'author': 'Y. Lin', 'year': '2022', 'journal-title': 'Scientific Reports'}, { 'issue': '3', 'key': 'pone.0291373.ref033', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': 'e018477', 'DOI': '10.1161/JAHA.120.018477', 'article-title': 'Troponin and Other Biomarker Levels and Outcomes Among Patients ' 'Hospitalized With COVID-19: Derivation and Validation of the HA(2)T(2) ' 'COVID-19 Mortality Risk Score', 'volume': '10', 'author': 'K. 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Xiang', 'year': '2021', 'journal-title': 'BMC Infectious Diseases'}, { 'issue': '8', 'key': 'pone.0291373.ref036', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '737', 'DOI': '10.1007/s40620-020-00790-5', 'article-title': 'Impact of renal function on admission in COVID-19 patients: an analysis ' 'of the international HOPE COVID-19 (Health Outcome Predictive ' 'Evaluation for COVID 19) Registry', 'volume': '33', 'author': 'A. Uribarri', 'year': '2020', 'journal-title': 'Journal Of Nephrology'}, { 'issue': '9', 'key': 'pone.0291373.ref037', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '1012', 'DOI': '10.1186/s12879-021-06576-9', 'article-title': 'Early kidney injury predicts disease progression in patients with ' 'COVID-19: a cohort study', 'volume': '21', 'author': 'T. Xia', 'year': '2021', 'journal-title': 'BMC Infectious Diseases'}, { 'issue': '4', 'key': 'pone.0291373.ref038', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': 'e216468', 'DOI': '10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.6468', 'article-title': 'Effect of Early Treatment With Hydroxychloroquine or Lopinavir and ' 'Ritonavir on Risk of Hospitalization Among Patients With COVID-19: The ' 'TOGETHER Randomized Clinical Trial', 'volume': '4', 'author': 'TOGETHER Investigators', 'year': '2021', 'journal-title': 'JAMA Network Open'}, { 'issue': '9', 'key': 'pone.0291373.ref039', 'doi-asserted-by': 'crossref', 'first-page': '1007', 'DOI': '10.1016/j.amjmed.2020.05.005', 'article-title': 'Hydroxychloroquine for Coronavirus: The Urgent Need for a Moratorium on ' 'Prescriptions', 'volume': '133', 'author': 'R. 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Late treatment
is less effective
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 100,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. FLCCC and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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