Predictors of COVID-19 severity and outcomes in Indian patients with rheumatic diseases: a prospective cohort study
Dr Jithin Mathew, Siddharth Jain, Terence Susngi, Gsrsnk Naidu, Varun Dhir, Aman Sharma, Sanjay Jain, Shefali Khanna, Dr Siddharth Jain, Dr Shefali K Sharma
doi:10.1093/rap/rkad025/7059537
Objectives: There is dearth of data regarding COVID-19 outcomes amongst rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (RMD) patients from South-East-Asia. We report the clinico-demographic profile and identify predictors of COVID-19 outcomes in a large cohort of Indian RMD patients.
Methods : This prospective cohort study done at PGIMER, Chandigarh (tertiary care centre in India) included RMD patients affected with COVID-19 between April 2020-October 2021. Demographic and clinico-laboratory details of COVID-19 and underlying RMD were noted. Predictors of mortality, hospitalization, and severe COVID-19 were identified using stepwise multivariable logistic regression. Results: A total of 64 SARS-CoV-2 infected RMD patients [age 41.5 (19-85 years); 46 (72%) females] were included. 18(28%) patients had severe COVID-19. 23 (36%) required respiratory support [11 (17%) required mechanical ventilation]. 36 (56%) patients required hospitalization [median duration of stay 10(1-42) days]; 17 (27%) required intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Presence of comorbidities [OR=4.5(1.4-14.7)] was found to independently predict COVID-19 severity. Comorbidities [OR=10.7(2.5-45.4)] and underlying lupus [OR=7.0(1.2-40.8)] were independently associated with COVID-19-hospitalization. Ongoing rheumatic disease activity [OR=6.8(1.3-35.4)] and underlying diagnosis of lupus [OR=7.1(1.2-42.4)] and systemic sclerosis (SSc) [OR=9.5(1.5-61.8)] were found to be strong independent predictors of mortality. Age, gender, underlying RMD-interstitial lung disease (ILD) and choice of immunosuppressive therapy were not associated with COVID-19 severity or adverse outcomes. Conclusion: Presence of comorbidities was independently associated with COVID-19 severity and hospitalization. Ongoing rheumatic disease activity and presence of lupus or SSc independently predicted mortality. Age, gender, type of immunosuppressive therapy and presence of RMD-ILD did not affect COVID-19 severity or outcomes in Indian RMD patients.
Conflict of Interest: The authors have declared no conflicts of interest
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'abstract': '<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:sec><jats:title>Objective</jats:title><jats:p>There is '
'dearth of data regarding the outcomes of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) among rheumatic '
'and musculoskeletal disease (RMD) patients from Southeast Asia. We report the '
'clinicodemographic profile and identify predictors of COVID-19 outcomes in a large cohort of '
'Indian RMD '
'patients.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods</jats:title><jats:p>This '
'prospective cohort study, carried out at the Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and '
'Research, Chandigarh (a tertiary care centre in India), included RMD patients affected with '
'COVID-19 between April 2020 and October 2021. Demographic and clinical and laboratory details '
'of COVID-19 and underlying RMD were noted. Predictors of mortality, hospitalization and '
'severe COVID-19 were identified using stepwise multivariable logistic '
'regression.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results</jats:title><jats:p>A total of '
'64 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2-infected RMD patients [age 41.5 '
'(19–85)\u2009years; 46 (72%) females] were included. Eighteen (28%) patients had severe '
'COVID-19. Twenty-three (36%) required respiratory support [11 (17%) required mechanical '
'ventilation]. Thirty-six (56%) patients required hospitalization [median duration of stay 10 '
'(1–42) days]; 17 (27%) required intensive care unit admission. Presence of co-morbidities '
'[odds ratio (OR)\u2009=\u20094.5 (95% CI: 1.4, 14.7)] was found to be an independent '
'predictor of COVID-19 severity. Co-morbidities [OR\u2009=\u200910.7 (95% CI: 2.5, 45.4)] and '
'underlying lupus [OR\u2009=\u20097.0 (95% CI: 1.2, 40.8)] were independently associated with '
'COVID-19 hospitalization. Ongoing rheumatic disease activity [OR\u2009=\u20096.8 (95% CI: '
'1.3, 35.4)] and underlying diagnosis of lupus [OR\u2009=\u20097.1 (95% CI: 1.2, 42.4)] and '
'SSc [OR\u2009=\u20099.5 (95% CI: 1.5, 61.8)] were found to be strong independent predictors '
'of mortality. Age, sex, underlying RMD-associated interstitial lung disease and choice of '
'immunosuppressive therapy were not associated with COVID-19 severity or adverse '
'outcomes.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusion</jats:title><jats:p>The '
'presence of co-morbidities was independently associated with COVID-19 severity and '
'hospitalization. Ongoing rheumatic disease activity and the presence of lupus or SSc '
'independently predicted mortality. Age, sex, type of immunosuppressive therapy and presence '
'of RMD-associated interstitial lung disease did not affect COVID-19 severity or outcomes in '
'Indian RMD patients.</jats:p></jats:sec>',
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