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0 0.5 1 1.5 2+ Mortality 32% Improvement Relative Risk c19hcq.org Lambermont et al. HCQ for COVID-19 LATE TREATMENT Is late treatment with HCQ beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 247 patients in Belgium Lower mortality with HCQ (not stat. sig., p=0.46) Lambermont et al., Critical Care Explorations, doi:10.1097/CCE.0000000000000305 Favors HCQ Favors control

Predictors of Mortality and Effect of Drug Therapies in Mechanically Ventilated Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019: A Multicenter Cohort Study

Lambermont et al., Critical Care Explorations, doi:10.1097/CCE.0000000000000305
Lambermont et al., Predictors of Mortality and Effect of Drug Therapies in Mechanically Ventilated Patients With Coronavirus.., Critical Care Explorations, doi:10.1097/CCE.0000000000000305
Nov 2020   Source   PDF  
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Retrospective 247 mechanically ventilated patients showing lower mortality with HCQ, but not statistically significant on multiple Cox regression.
The paper gives the p value for multiple Cox (0.46) and simple Cox (0.02), but does not specify the adjusted risk values.
Although the 32% lower mortality is not statistically significant, it is consistent with the significant 24% lower mortality [19‑28%] from meta analysis of the 237 mortality results to date.
risk of death, 32.3% lower, RR 0.68, p = 0.46, treatment 97 of 225 (43.1%), control 14 of 22 (63.6%), NNT 4.9, adjusted per study.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Lambermont et al., 28 Nov 2020, retrospective, Belgium, peer-reviewed, 15 authors.
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Letter to the Editor
We conducted a multicenter cohort study to determine the effect of drug therapies on survival in mechanically ventilated patients with coronavirus disease 2019. All consecutive adult patients admitted to ICU for coronavirus disease 2019 from March 1, 2020, to April 25, 2020, and under invasive mechanical ventilation for more than 24 hours were included. Out of 2,003 patients hospitalized for coronavirus disease 2019, 361 were admitted to ICU, 257 were ventilated for more than 24 hours, and 247 were included in the study. Simple and multiple time-dependent Cox regression models were used to assess the effects of factors on survival. Methylprednisolone administration during the first week of mechanical ventilation was associated with a decrease in mortality rate from 48% to 34% (p = 0.01). Mortality was significantly associated with older age, higher creatinine, lower lymphocyte count, and mean arterial pressure lower than 70 mm Hg on the day of admission.
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Late treatment
is less effective
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