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Factors affecting prognosis and mortality in severe COVID-19 pneumonia patients

Afşin et al., Acta Clinica Croatica, doi:10.20471/acc.2023.62.01.13
Aug 2023  
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Mortality 17% Improvement Relative Risk HCQ for COVID-19  Afşin et al.  LATE TREATMENT Is late treatment with HCQ beneficial for COVID-19? Retrospective 80 patients in Turkey (August - November 2020) Lower mortality with HCQ (not stat. sig., p=0.5) c19hcq.org Afşin et al., Acta Clinica Croatica, Aug 2023 FavorsHCQ Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
HCQ for COVID-19
1st treatment shown to reduce risk in March 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 419 studies, recognized in 46 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,100+ studies for 109 treatments. c19hcq.org
Retrospective 80 hospitalized severe COVID-19 patients in Turkey, showing no significant difference with HCQ treatment in unadjusted results. All patients received favipiravir.
Although the 17% lower mortality is not statistically significant, it is consistent with the significant 26% lower mortality [22‑30%] from meta analysis of the 253 mortality results to date.
This study is excluded in the after exclusion results of meta analysis: unadjusted results with no group details.
risk of death, 16.7% lower, RR 0.83, p = 0.50, treatment 15 of 36 (41.7%), control 22 of 44 (50.0%), NNT 12.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Afşin et al., 1 Aug 2023, retrospective, Turkey, peer-reviewed, 2 authors, study period August 2020 - November 2020.
This PaperHCQAll
FACTORS AFFECTING PROGNOSIS AND MORTALITY IN SEVERE COVID-19 PNEUMONIA PATIENTS
Emine Afşin, Muhammed Emin Demirkol, Prof Assoc Emine Afşin, MD Abant Izzet
doi:10.20471/acc.2023.62.01.13
Fatality rate in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases has been reported to be 3.4% worldwide. The aim of this study was to evaluate the factors that determine prognosis and mortality in severe COVID-19 pneumonia patients. Eighty adult patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia hospitalized and monitored at Izzet Baysal State Hospital (Bolu, Turkey) between August and November 2020 were included in this retrospective single-center study. Demographic and laboratory data, severity of radiological involvement, comorbidities, agents used in treatment, and clinical results were recorded, and data were grouped as survivors and non-survivors. The mean patient age was 67.8±12.6 years. There were 59 (73.8%) male patients. Comorbid diseases were present in 53 (66.3%) patients. There was no significant relationship between patient age, gender, smoking status or presence of comorbidity and mortality (p>0.05). The variables such as pulmonary involvement above 50%, intubation, or ferritin (>434.8 µg/L), troponin I (>14.05 ng/L) and procalcitonin (>0.125 ng/mL) as the sole variables of laboratory data were found to have significant relationship with increased mortality (p<0.05). Mortality was significantly higher in patients using steroid pulse therapy + tocilizumab, steroid pulse therapy + hydroxychloroquine, or solely steroid pulse therapy, while it was significantly lower in patients receiving azithromycin therapy and those in the plasma + steroid pulse therapy group. The severity of pulmonary involvement, intubation, and increase in inflammation markers such as ferritin, troponin and procalcitonin were found to be significantly associated with mortality (p<0.05). Treatment approaches with azithromycin and plasma + steroid pulse therapy were found to reduce mortality.
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Late treatment
is less effective
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