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The PRINCIPLE randomised controlled open label platform trial of hydroxychloroquine for treating COVID19 in community based patients at high risk

Hobbs et al., Scientific Reports, doi:10.1038/s41598-025-09275-6, PRINCIPLE, ISRCTN86534580, Jul 2025
https://c19hcq.org/hobbs2.html
Death/hospitalization -4% Improvement Relative Risk Recovery, time to reco.. 21% Recovery, time to allev.. 25% Recovery, time to sust.. 24% Recovery, time to initi.. 24% HCQ  PRINCIPLE  LATE TREATMENT  RCT Is late treatment with HCQ beneficial for COVID-19? RCT 384 patients in the United Kingdom (April - May 2020) Improved recovery with HCQ (p=0.022) c19hcq.org Hobbs et al., Scientific Reports, July 2025 FavorsHCQ Favorscontrol 0 0.5 1 1.5 2+
HCQ for COVID-19
1st treatment shown to reduce risk in March 2020, now with p < 0.00000000001 from 424 studies, used in 59 countries.
No treatment is 100% effective. Protocols combine treatments.
5,900+ studies for 172 treatments. c19hcq.org
PRINCIPLE RCT 413 outpatients patients showing significantly faster recovery with HCQ. Publication was delayed over 5 years.
Treatment was very late, with 25% of patients ≥10 days from onset. There was no significant difference for hospitalization or death, and authors focus entirely on this result in the abstract without mentioning the significantly faster recovery. However the trial was underpowed for this outcome and it is impossible for any treatment to show a significant benefit - even 0 hospitalizations/deaths in the treatment arm would not be statistically significant.
No safety signals for HCQ were detected.
Recruitment opened April 2, 2020 and authors report the HCQ arm was suspended May 22, 2020 by the regulator due to safety concerns. However, the trial reports zero serious adverse events for HCQ, and the RECOVERY trial1, which was actually using unsafe dosage, continued until June 5 and reported ending based on normal procedure without any requirement from the regulator.
Despite already showing significantly faster recovery and the significant human cost of delaying effective treatments, the results were not made available and the trial was never restarted. COPCOV restarted June 26, 2020, eventually showing 57% lower PCR+ COVID-19, p=0.0004 (that result was also delayed years).
Figure S5/S9 (repeated in all 3 supplementary appendices) shows patient daily ratings of feeling well, with HCQ patients initially being more severe, but quickly feeling better than control patients. Authors report no details for this analysis.
The SAP states that: "The first primary outcome is time to recovery from suspected COVID-19 infection". The version of the SAP included with the paper is specifically for the HCQ/AZ/doxycycline analysis, is dated prior to the HCQ data lock, and shows identical data lock dates for HCQ and AZ. The AZ and doxycycline papers do report the primary recovery outcome, and do report most of the severity outcomes that are missing for HCQ. The protocol states: "The trial has co-primary endpoints: 1) Time taken to self-reported recovery; and 2) hospitalisation and/or death."
No details are provided on the cause or timing of hospitalizations - they may have been shortly after recruitment before treatment could be effective, especially given the very late treatment with 25% ≥10 days from onset.
Several severity outcomes were not reported: WHO ordinal scale of clinical progression (levels 1–6), patient‑reported illness‑severity score (graph but no data), duration of severe symptoms. The trial shows 98.8% Pr(superiority) for recovery. It's unclear why authors would not continue the trial after the regulator's temporary suspension when 99% is expected to be reached within a few more days of recruitment.
Authors report COVID-19 test results available for 61% of patients, however slides released in 2020 show zero patients with test results - no patients had results until July, after the HCQ arm ended2. The difference may be that the earlier slide shows selected results, e.g., only at the time of randomization, while the paper reports availability of a result up to 28 days after randomization. Authors highlight the percentage of negative results in the abtract - apparently more important than the statistically significant faster recovery - however, it is not clear how this is useful without specifying when the results were obtained - viral clearance is expected over time. Authors use the negative test results to support a claim that patients may not have had COVID-19, without mentioning that the negative results may have been 28 days from randomization. The AZ paper does not contain the same misleading wording.
Authors suggest that HCQ may benefit respiratory infections generally and not just COVID-19.
Viral clearance was not reported.
Preliminary review - details will be added later.
Standard of Care (SOC) for COVID-19 in the study country, the United Kingdom, is very poor with very low average efficacy for approved treatments3. The United Kingdom focused on expensive high-profit treatments, approving only one low-cost early treatment, which required a prescription and had limited adoption. The high-cost prescription treatment strategy reduces the probability of early treatment due to access and cost barriers, and eliminates complementary and synergistic benefits seen with many low-cost treatments.
risk of death/hospitalization, 3.9% higher, RR 1.04, p = 0.95, treatment 7 of 190 (3.7%), control 6 of 194 (3.1%), odds ratio converted to relative risk.
risk of no recovery, 21.3% lower, HR 0.79, p = 0.02, treatment 190, control 194, inverted to make HR<1 favor treatment, time to recovery.
risk of no recovery, 25.4% lower, HR 0.75, p = 0.01, treatment 164, control 172, inverted to make HR<1 favor treatment, time to alleviation of symptoms.
risk of no recovery, 24.2% lower, HR 0.76, p = 0.03, treatment 167, control 172, inverted to make HR<1 favor treatment, time to sustained alleviation of symptoms.
risk of no recovery, 23.7% lower, HR 0.76, p = 0.01, treatment 189, control 193, inverted to make HR<1 favor treatment, time to initial reduction of symptoms.
Effect extraction follows pre-specified rules prioritizing more serious outcomes. Submit updates
Hobbs et al., 4 Jul 2025, Randomized Controlled Trial, placebo-controlled, United Kingdom, peer-reviewed, mean age 60.3, 31 authors, study period 2 April, 2020 - 22 May, 2020, trial ISRCTN86534580 (PRINCIPLE). Contact: richard.hobbs@phc.ox.ac.uk, christopher.butler@phc.ox.ac.uk.
Abstract: www.nature.com/scientificreports OPEN The PRINCIPLE randomised controlled open label platform trial of hydroxychloroquine for treating COVID19 in community based patients at high risk F. D. Richard Hobbs1, Jienchi Dorward1, Gail Hayward1, Ly-Mee Yu1, Benjamin R. Saville2,3, Christopher C. Butler1 on behalf of the PRINCIPLE Investigators Early on in the COVID-19 pandemic, we aimed to assess the effectiveness of hydroxychloroquine on reducing the need for hospital admission in patients in the community at higher risk of complications from COVID-19 syndromic illness (testing was largely unavailable at the time, hence not microbiologically confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection), as part of the national open-label, multi-arm, prospective, adaptive platform, randomised clinical trial in community care in the United Kingdom (UK). People aged 65 and over, or aged 50 and over with comorbidities, and who had been unwell for up to 14 days with suspected COVID-19 were randomised to usual care with the addition of hydroxychloroquine, 200 mg twice a day for seven days, or usual care without hydroxychloroquine (control). Participants were recruited based on symptoms and approximately 5% had confirmed SARS-COV2 infection. The primary outcome while hydroxychloroquine was in the trial was hospital admission or death related to suspected COVID-19 infection within 28 days from randomisation. First recruitment was on April 2, 2020, and the hydroxychloroquine arm was suspended by the UK Medicines Regulator on May 22, 2020. 207 were randomised to hydroxychloroquine and 206 to usual care, and 190 and 194 contributed to the primary analysis results presented, respectively. There was no swab result available within 28 days of randomisation for 39% in both groups: 107 (54%) in the hydroxychloroquine group and 111 (55%) in the usual care group tested negative for SARSCov-2, and 13 (7%) and 11 (5%) tested positive. 13 participants, (seven (3·7%) in the usual care plus hydroxychloroquine and six (3.1%) in the usual care group were hospitalized (odds ratio 1·04 [95% BCI 0·36 to 3.00], probability of superiority 0·47). There was one serious adverse event, in the usual care group. More people receiving hydroxychloroquine reported nausea. We found no evidence from this treatment arm of the PRINCIPLE trial, stopped early and therefore under-powered for reasons external to the trial, that hydroxychloroquine reduced hospital admission or death in people with suspected, but mostly unconfirmed COVID-19. Keywords Primary health care, SARS-COV-2, Serious COVID, Repurposed medicines, Hydroxychloroquine Hydroxychloroquine for treating COVID-19 was widely promoted early on in the pandemic and over 100 trials evaluating hydroxychloroquine were quickly registered. This was supported by in vitro studies that found hydroxychloroquine has anti SARS-CoV-2 activity, although some data was later questioned1,2. Various mechanisms of action have been suggested, including a hydroxychloroquine induced reduction in the glycosylation of host cell surface enzymes preventing viral attachment3, and inhibition of the production of certain pro-inflammatory cytokines that are mediators of acute respiratory distress syndrome4. Hydroxychloroquine is generally safe and well tolerated5,6, cheap and widely available. If effective in speeding recovery and preventing 1Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. 2Berry Consultants, Austin, TX, USA. 3Department of..
DOI record: { "DOI": "10.1038/s41598-025-09275-6", "ISSN": [ "2045-2322" ], "URL": "http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-09275-6", "abstract": "<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>\n <jats:p>Early on in the COVID-19 pandemic, we aimed to assess the effectiveness of hydroxychloroquine on reducing the need for hospital admission in patients in the community at higher risk of complications from COVID-19 syndromic illness (testing was largely unavailable at the time, hence not microbiologically confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection), as part of the national open-label, multi-arm, prospective, adaptive platform, randomised clinical trial in community care in the United Kingdom (UK). People aged 65 and over, or aged 50 and over with comorbidities, and who had been unwell for up to 14 days with suspected COVID-19 were randomised to usual care with the addition of hydroxychloroquine, 200 mg twice a day for seven days, or usual care without hydroxychloroquine (control). Participants were recruited based on symptoms and approximately 5% had confirmed SARS-COV2 infection. The primary outcome while hydroxychloroquine was in the trial was hospital admission or death related to suspected COVID-19 infection within 28 days from randomisation. First recruitment was on April 2, 2020, and the hydroxychloroquine arm was suspended by the UK Medicines Regulator on May 22, 2020. 207 were randomised to hydroxychloroquine and 206 to usual care, and 190 and 194 contributed to the primary analysis results presented, respectively. There was no swab result available within 28 days of randomisation for 39% in both groups: 107 (54%) in the hydroxychloroquine group and 111 (55%) in the usual care group tested negative for SARS-Cov-2, and 13 (7%) and 11 (5%) tested positive. 13 participants, (seven (3·7%) in the usual care plus hydroxychloroquine and six (3.1%) in the usual care group were hospitalized (odds ratio 1·04 [95% BCI 0·36 to 3.00], probability of superiority 0·47). There was one serious adverse event, in the usual care group. More people receiving hydroxychloroquine reported nausea. We found no evidence from this treatment arm of the PRINCIPLE trial, stopped early and therefore under-powered for reasons external to the trial, that hydroxychloroquine reduced hospital admission or death in people with suspected, but mostly unconfirmed COVID-19.</jats:p>", "alternative-id": [ "9275" ], "article-number": "23850", "assertion": [ { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "Received", "name": "received", "order": 1, "value": "6 December 2024" }, { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "Accepted", "name": "accepted", "order": 2, "value": "26 June 2025" }, { "group": { "label": "Article History", "name": "ArticleHistory" }, "label": "First Online", "name": "first_online", "order": 3, "value": "4 July 2025" }, { "group": { "label": "Declarations", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 1 }, { "group": { "label": "Competing interests", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 2, "value": "The authors declare no competing interests." }, { "group": { "label": "Ethical approval", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 3, "value": "REC number: 20/SC/0158." }, { "group": { "label": "EudraCT number", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 4, "value": "2020-001209-22 26/3/2020." }, { "group": { "label": "ISRCTN registry", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 5, "value": "ISRCTN86534580." }, { "group": { "label": "IRAS number", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 6, "value": "281958." }, { "group": { "label": "Contributors", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 7, "value": "CCB and FDRH were co-principal investigators of the trial, obtained funding, had full access to all the data in the study, take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. FDRH and CCB decided to publish the paper. BS, L-MY, GH, JD, BS provided input on the trial design. L-MY and EO were responsible for acquisition, analysis, and interpretation of data. CCB, FDRH, L-MY, BS, JD drafted the manuscript. All authors critically revised the manuscript. BS, NB, L-MY, MAD, MF, CS, VH contributed to statistical analysis." }, { "group": { "label": "Trial steering committee", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 8, "value": "Carol Green, Phil Hannaford, Paul Little (Chair), Tim Mustill, Matthew Sydes." }, { "group": { "label": "Data monitoring and safety committee", "name": "EthicsHeading" }, "name": "Ethics", "order": 9, "value": "Deborah Ashby (Chair), Nick Francis, Simon Gates, Gordon Taylor, Patrick White." } ], "author": [ { "affiliation": [], "family": "Hobbs", "given": "F. D. 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Lancet (2020)." } ], "reference-count": 19, "references-count": 19, "relation": {}, "resource": { "primary": { "URL": "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-09275-6" } }, "score": 1, "short-title": [], "source": "Crossref", "subject": [], "subtitle": [], "title": "The PRINCIPLE randomised controlled open label platform trial of hydroxychloroquine for treating COVID19 in community based patients at high risk", "type": "journal-article", "update-policy": "https://doi.org/10.1007/springer_crossmark_policy", "volume": "15" }
Late treatment
is less effective
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. c19early involves the extraction of 200,000+ datapoints from thousands of papers. Community updates help ensure high accuracy. Treatments and other interventions are complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used based on risk/benefit analysis. No treatment or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. IMA and WCH provide treatment protocols.
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